‘Number of airplanes will double in 20 years’
On the eve of the aeronautic fair in Farnborough, the most important aircraft constructors usually present their previsions for the coming 20 years, and according to Airbus, air traffic worldwide will increase with 4,4% by 2037.
The increase will lead to the delivery of 37.390 new airplanes (with more than 100 seats), coming to a total fleet of 48.000 aircrafts, worth 5.800 billion dollar.
The European manufacturer sees several explanations for the impressive growth: 2,4 times more private use in the upcoming markets that represent more than 60% of the economical growth, where flights per inhabitant are multiplied by 2,5, and also global growth and an almost doubling of middle class worldwide.
New markets and destinations
New opportunities, new technology and growing capacity of airplanes will enable airline companies to explore new destinations and new markets, while keeping costs under control.
Of the 37.390 new aircrafts 26.540 will meet the growing expectations, 10.850 will replace older or less performing airplanes in terms of fuel consumption. Airbus has also calculated the need of extra staff. “For a fleet of 48.000 airplanes some 540.000 extra pilots will be necessary.” Earlier estimations pointed in the same direction.
Are actual airports ready?
Question is, however, are the actual airports ready for a doubled fleet? And is air control capable of handling such an explosive growth in global traffic? It is certainly not too soon to question this…