‘Antwerp traffic will slow down 13% by 2040’
According to the recent calculations of the Federal Planning Bureau, the number of cars and especially trucks on the Belgian roads will increase, +9,8% and +25% by 2040 respectively, and so will traffic congestion. Private cars will represent 10% more kilometres, trucks even 20% more. If nothing is done, though.
This calculations are made on a regular base by the Planning Bureau, presuming the next 20 years government policy would be ‘frozen’ at today’s situation. It doesn’t take into account future measures. It would be unlikely nothing extra would be done the next two decades. But still, it’s a warning.
Car still first choice
Congestion will grow worse and average speed in 2040 will be 2% lower than in 2015. The Antwerp region, with the Antwerp harbour as one of the most important logistics hubs, will have to cope with the biggest part of the increased traffic, lowering the average speed on the most important Antwerp axes with 13%.
Remarkable conclusion of the new study is that in 2040 the car will still remain the most important transport means for the Belgian commuter, good for 80% of all movements. Train, tram and bus will not succeed in becoming more important.
What about the air quality?
Direct emissions will decrease with 70% thanks to the greener car technology but the emission of greenhouse gases will even rise with 3% by 2040, compared to 2015. Conclusion? “The expected increase of transport will not be completely compensated by technological improvements and provided measures.”