ANWB: ‘Electric car to break through in Dutch private market in 2020’
Next year will be marked by the breakthrough of the electric car in the private market in the Netherlands. Cheaper models and premiums will also push the lower-income class to consider an EV as its next car, the Dutch mobility organization ANWB predicts. Even today the Dutch already buy more electric cars than diesel cars.
The latter is one of the remarkable conclusions of the new ANWB report ‘Electric Driving Monitor’ that was presented on Thursday and De Telegraaf already could lay hands on. The survey showed that 58% of the Dutch people want to buy an electric car in the future and 5% even within the next two years.
“It’s remarkable that the lower-income class wants to go electric too”, Marco van Eenennaam, project leader Electric Driving says. “Until now, only business drivers and the higher income class were interested.”
ANWB expects electric cars to become cheaper, which makes them more interesting to private buyers also. Carmakers are presenting next year’s models between 25.000 and 45.000 euros and their range capacity is extending fast too. Price and range are two of the major drawbacks for people to go electric until now.
MG EV for 32.000 euros
“The private buyer wants a greener car and expects higher residue values”, says Eric Berkhof, CEO of Van Mossel Automotive Group, with more than 140 dealerships the Netherland’s biggest dealer organization and also active in Belgium.
They are launching the MG ZS EV, a brand new full-electric SUV made under the old British brand name by Chinese manufacturer SAIC. It will cost about 32.000 euros with its 44,5 kWh battery pack and offer a range of 263 km (WLTP). According to Berkhof, already 1.200 orders are registered, among which lots of private buyers. And that’s unparalleled so far for a new model, the CEO says.
In 2020 not only company cars, but also private cars will benefit from a government’s fiscal bonus. How much this subsidy will be and when it will be available exactly, isn’t announced yet. “On top of that today private car drivers aren’t always aware that electric cars are exempted from yearly car taxes”, Van Eenennaam says. The latter will boost the effect.
The mobility organization expects the tipping point for the total cost of ownership (TCO) of an electric car equalling that of a classic gasoline car to be reached next year in the Netherlands.
That is confirmed by mobility consultant Stijn de Groen of international accountancy company KPMG. He points at the fact that the new WLTP emission tests that are mandatory in Europa, will make ICE cars with a conventional engine between 500 to 1.000 euros more expensive on average.
Today electric cars make out already 9,65% of total new car sales in the Netherlands, far above the forecasts. The Dutch are today one of the best pupils in the class in Europe, after Norway. The number of EVs sold surpassed even the sales of diesel cars in the Netherlands. But the Dutchman never was very keen on diesel anyway.
According to figures of ACEA, the European car manufacturers federation, 34.321 battery-electric cars (BEVs) were sold in the first three quarters of this year, and even for the Dutch EV sales, that’s a surplus of 124,2%. To compare: Belgium counted only 6.738 BEVs, but that’s a rise with 179,2%, largely above the EU average.
Sales of full-electric cars (battery-electric or BEV) is clearly picking up in Europe, doubling the figures (+102,5%) over the first three quarters of 2019. Plug-in hybrids (PHEV), on the other hand, slide back with -7,1%. And diesel is going further in its free fall with -16,4%, according to ACEA’s latest quarterly figures for Europe.