{"id":185687,"date":"2026-05-04T12:20:28","date_gmt":"2026-05-04T10:20:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/newmobility.news\/?p=185687"},"modified":"2026-05-04T11:13:01","modified_gmt":"2026-05-04T09:13:01","slug":"ipcc-scraps-worst-case-scenario-global-warming-at-most-3-5c-by-2100","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/newmobility.news\/en\/2026\/05\/04\/ipcc-scraps-worst-case-scenario-global-warming-at-most-3-5c-by-2100\/","title":{"rendered":"IPCC scraps worst-case scenario: global warming at most 3.5\u00b0C by 2100"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) of the United Nations\u00a0<span class=\"Y2IQFc\" lang=\"en\">scraps its gloomiest forecast: 4 to 6 degrees of global warming by<\/span><span class=\"Y2IQFc\" lang=\"en\"> 2100. <\/span><span class=\"Y2IQFc\" lang=\"en\">The doomsday scenarios and ominous media reports about the future of the climate prove too bleak. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"Y2IQFc\" lang=\"en\">Extreme global warming is not expected to progress that quickly, and the gloomy forecasts of sea levels being more than a meter higher by 2100 are also too pessimistic.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"Y2IQFc\" lang=\"en\">That does not mean that nothing is wrong, or that the damage is minor, emphasizes emissions researcher Detlef van Vuuren, author of the new IPCC scenarios.<\/span><\/p>\n<h4>&#8216;Impossible <span class=\"Y2IQFc\" lang=\"en\">to keep warming below 1.5 degrees Celsius&#8217;<\/span><\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"Y2IQFc\" lang=\"en\">In the gloomiest new scenario, Earth&#8217;s temperature rises to around 3.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels by 2100, well above the 2 degrees Celsius considered &#8216;safe&#8217;. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"Y2IQFc\" lang=\"en\">&#8220;And if we do too little about greenhouse gas emissions, we will inevitably end up with higher values \u200b\u200banyway. It just happens later,&#8221; explains van Vuuren.\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"Y2IQFc\" lang=\"en\">The climate expert points out that it is no longer possible to keep warming below 1.5 degrees Celsius, as intended.<\/span><\/p>\n<h4>Catastrophic scenario<\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"Y2IQFc\" lang=\"en\">Climate scientist Zeke Hausfather (Berkeley Earth) also points out in the journal Nature that &#8220;as long as emissions remain above zero, the Earth will continue to warm. And the rate of warming that is now less realistic for 2100 remains plausible for 2150 and beyond.&#8221;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"Y2IQFc\" lang=\"en\">The old catastrophic scenario, drawn up fifteen years ago, assumed a world that would barely become sustainable, <\/span><span class=\"Y2IQFc\" lang=\"en\">but would instead start burning coal at an ever-increasing rate. There would also be little innovation, and the world population would grow more than it does.<\/span><\/p>\n<h4>&#8216;Only&#8217; 2.5 degrees&#8217;<\/h4>\n<p><span class=\"Y2IQFc\" lang=\"en\">A doomsday scenario, in other words, &#8220;if we did not act&#8221;. But fortunately, the world has evolved. Renewable energy has quickly become cheaper. And, although still insufficient, there is indeed a climate policy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"Y2IQFc\" lang=\"en\">In the old disaster scenario, the temperature in 2100 would range between 3.3 and 5.7 degrees. However, according to the UN Environment Program (UNEP), under current policies, the world is heading for &#8216;only&#8217; 2.6 degrees.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) of the United Nations\u00a0scraps its gloomiest forecast: 4 to 6 degrees of global warming by 2100. The doomsday scenarios and ominous media reports about the future of the climate prove too bleak. Extreme global warming is not expected to progress that quickly, and the gloomy forecasts of sea [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":175,"featured_media":185704,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"_wpas_customize_per_network":false},"categories":[14496,29,4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-185687","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-climate","category-environment","category-top-stories-today"],"acf":[],"featured_image_urls_v2":{"full":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/newmobility.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Scherm%C2%ADafbeelding-2026-05-04-om-10.06.47.png?fit=853%2C624&ssl=1",853,624,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/newmobility.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Scherm%C2%ADafbeelding-2026-05-04-om-10.06.47.png?resize=150%2C150&ssl=1",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/newmobility.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Scherm%C2%ADafbeelding-2026-05-04-om-10.06.47.png?fit=300%2C219&ssl=1",300,219,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/newmobility.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Scherm%C2%ADafbeelding-2026-05-04-om-10.06.47.png?fit=640%2C468&ssl=1",640,468,true],"large":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/newmobility.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Scherm%C2%ADafbeelding-2026-05-04-om-10.06.47.png?fit=640%2C468&ssl=1",640,468,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/newmobility.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Scherm%C2%ADafbeelding-2026-05-04-om-10.06.47.png?fit=853%2C624&ssl=1",853,624,true],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/newmobility.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Scherm%C2%ADafbeelding-2026-05-04-om-10.06.47.png?fit=853%2C624&ssl=1",853,624,true],"trp-custom-language-flag":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/newmobility.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Scherm%C2%ADafbeelding-2026-05-04-om-10.06.47.png?fit=16%2C12&ssl=1",16,12,true],"related-thumb":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/newmobility.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Scherm%C2%ADafbeelding-2026-05-04-om-10.06.47.png?resize=640%2C480&ssl=1",640,480,true],"gform-image-choice-sm":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/newmobility.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Scherm%C2%ADafbeelding-2026-05-04-om-10.06.47.png?resize=300%2C300&ssl=1",300,300,true],"gform-image-choice-md":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/newmobility.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Scherm%C2%ADafbeelding-2026-05-04-om-10.06.47.png?resize=400%2C400&ssl=1",400,400,true],"gform-image-choice-lg":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/newmobility.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Scherm%C2%ADafbeelding-2026-05-04-om-10.06.47.png?resize=600%2C600&ssl=1",600,600,true],"mailchimp":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/newmobility.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Scherm%C2%ADafbeelding-2026-05-04-om-10.06.47.png?fit=560%2C410&ssl=1",560,410,true],"unipress-phone":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/newmobility.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Scherm%C2%ADafbeelding-2026-05-04-om-10.06.47.png?resize=640%2C100&ssl=1",640,100,true],"unipress-tablet":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/newmobility.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Scherm%C2%ADafbeelding-2026-05-04-om-10.06.47.png?resize=853%2C240&ssl=1",853,240,true],"unipress-tablet-portrait":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/newmobility.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Scherm%C2%ADafbeelding-2026-05-04-om-10.06.47.png?resize=853%2C180&ssl=1",853,180,true],"unipress-tablet-landscape":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/newmobility.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Scherm%C2%ADafbeelding-2026-05-04-om-10.06.47.png?resize=853%2C180&ssl=1",853,180,true],"unipress-smartphone":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/newmobility.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Scherm%C2%ADafbeelding-2026-05-04-om-10.06.47.png?resize=853%2C168&ssl=1",853,168,true],"unipress-wide-screen":["https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/newmobility.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Scherm%C2%ADafbeelding-2026-05-04-om-10.06.47.png?resize=853%2C180&ssl=1",853,180,true]},"post_excerpt_stackable_v2":"<p>The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) of the United Nations\u00a0scraps its gloomiest forecast: 4 to 6 degrees of global warming by 2100. The doomsday scenarios and ominous media reports about the future of the climate prove too bleak. Extreme global warming is not expected to progress that quickly, and the gloomy forecasts of sea levels being more than a meter higher by 2100 are also too pessimistic. That does not mean that nothing is wrong, or that the damage is minor, emphasizes emissions researcher Detlef van Vuuren, author of the new IPCC scenarios. &#8216;Impossible to keep warming below 1.5&hellip;<\/p>\n","category_list_v2":"<a href=\"https:\/\/newmobility.news\/en\/category\/climate\/\" rel=\"category tag\">Climate<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/newmobility.news\/en\/category\/environment\/\" rel=\"category tag\">Environment<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/newmobility.news\/en\/category\/top-stories-today\/\" rel=\"category tag\">Top Stories Today<\/a>","author_info_v2":{"name":"Hilde Van Raemdonck","url":"https:\/\/newmobility.news\/en\/author\/hilde-van-raemdonck\/"},"comments_num_v2":"0 comments","yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>IPCC scraps worst-case scenario: global warming at most 3.5\u00b0C by 2100 - newmobility.news<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/newmobility.news\/en\/2026\/05\/04\/ipcc-scraps-worst-case-scenario-global-warming-at-most-3-5c-by-2100\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"IPCC scraps worst-case scenario: global warming at most 3.5\u00b0C by 2100 - newmobility.news\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) of the United Nations\u00a0scraps its gloomiest forecast: 4 to 6 degrees of global warming by 2100. The doomsday scenarios and ominous media reports about the future of the climate prove too bleak. Extreme global warming is not expected to progress that quickly, and the gloomy forecasts of sea [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/newmobility.news\/en\/2026\/05\/04\/ipcc-scraps-worst-case-scenario-global-warming-at-most-3-5c-by-2100\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"newmobility.news\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/search\/top\/?q=newmobility.news\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-05-04T10:20:28+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/newmobility.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Scherm%C2%ADafbeelding-2026-05-04-om-10.06.47.png?fit=853%2C624&ssl=1\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"853\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"624\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Hilde Van Raemdonck\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@jorisvry\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@jorisvry\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Hilde Van Raemdonck\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/newmobility.news\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/04\\\/ipcc-scraps-worst-case-scenario-global-warming-at-most-3-5c-by-2100\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/newmobility.news\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/04\\\/ipcc-scraps-worst-case-scenario-global-warming-at-most-3-5c-by-2100\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Hilde Van Raemdonck\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/newmobility.news\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/e57c278780b041b8d42f2ce28dd9ec82\"},\"headline\":\"IPCC scraps worst-case scenario: global warming at most 3.5\u00b0C by 2100\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-05-04T10:20:28+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/newmobility.news\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/04\\\/ipcc-scraps-worst-case-scenario-global-warming-at-most-3-5c-by-2100\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":331,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/newmobility.news\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/newmobility.news\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/04\\\/ipcc-scraps-worst-case-scenario-global-warming-at-most-3-5c-by-2100\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/i0.wp.com\\\/newmobility.news\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/Scherm%C2%ADafbeelding-2026-05-04-om-10.06.47.png?fit=853%2C624&ssl=1\",\"articleSection\":[\"Climate\",\"Environment\",\"Top Stories Today\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/newmobility.news\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/04\\\/ipcc-scraps-worst-case-scenario-global-warming-at-most-3-5c-by-2100\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/newmobility.news\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/04\\\/ipcc-scraps-worst-case-scenario-global-warming-at-most-3-5c-by-2100\\\/\",\"name\":\"IPCC scraps worst-case scenario: global warming at most 3.5\u00b0C by 2100 - 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newmobility.news","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/newmobility.news\/en\/2026\/05\/04\/ipcc-scraps-worst-case-scenario-global-warming-at-most-3-5c-by-2100\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"IPCC scraps worst-case scenario: global warming at most 3.5\u00b0C by 2100 - newmobility.news","og_description":"The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) of the United Nations\u00a0scraps its gloomiest forecast: 4 to 6 degrees of global warming by 2100. 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Extreme global warming is not expected to progress that quickly, and the gloomy forecasts of sea [&hellip;]","og_url":"https:\/\/newmobility.news\/en\/2026\/05\/04\/ipcc-scraps-worst-case-scenario-global-warming-at-most-3-5c-by-2100\/","og_site_name":"newmobility.news","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/search\/top\/?q=newmobility.news","article_published_time":"2026-05-04T10:20:28+00:00","og_image":[{"width":853,"height":624,"url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/newmobility.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Scherm%C2%ADafbeelding-2026-05-04-om-10.06.47.png?fit=853%2C624&ssl=1","type":"image\/png"}],"author":"Hilde Van Raemdonck","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@jorisvry","twitter_site":"@jorisvry","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Hilde Van Raemdonck","Est. reading time":"2 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