Norway nears 100% electric sales with a lot of help from Tesla

Where the brand is being chewed out in the rest of Europe, Tesla has seized a decisive lead in electric car walhalla, Norway. As the country witnesses one of its strongest electric-vehicle surges, the American EV maker broke a previous record held by Volkswagen.

Norway’s electric-vehicle market has entered another explosive phase, and Tesla is the clearest beneficiary. With only one month left in the year, the US brand has already crossed 28,600 registrations and set a new national annual sales record.

Outperforming its own 2023 tally and surpassing Volkswagen’s 2016 benchmark (2,000 fewer) is quite exceptional these days, as the brand has entered a negative sales spiral.

A different picture 

The Norwegian surge stands in sharp contrast to Tesla’s weak momentum across the European Union, where the brand has seen demand almost halve (-48%) in the wake of heightened competition from China, especially BYD, and Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s political stance.

In Norway, the picture could not be more different. In November, the country recorded one of the strongest sales months ever, with 19,899 new passenger-vehicle registrations, a 70 percent increase over the same month last year. 

Tesla: one-third

The electric-vehicle share reached 97.6 percent, and the volume — more than 19,400 EVs — was exceptional even by Norwegian standards. OFV, the country’s Road Traffic Information Council, attributes the spike to pending fiscal changes, aggressive discounting, better vehicle availability, and signs of economic recovery.

Tesla’s results accounted for nearly a third of all registrations in November. With 6,215 vehicles delivered, the brand posted its best monthly result in years. The Model Y remained Norway’s top-selling nameplate with 3,648 units, closely followed by the Model 3 at 2,562 units.

The next closest contender, Volvo’s EX40, trailed far behind at 916. Volkswagen’s ID.4, Volkswagen’s ID.7, and Volvo’s EX30 rounded out the upper ranks.

The strong registration performance comes ahead of planned fiscal amendments. The government plans to lower the VAT exemption threshold for new EVs from 500,000 to 300,000 kroner next year.

In 2027, the exemption is scheduled to disappear entirely. However, parliamentary approval is still pending, creating uncertainty. OFV Managing Director Geir Inge Stokke warned that the unclear budget picture is prompting consumers to act quickly. As a consequence, he expects December registrations to remain elevated.

Changing tax scheme

The looming policy shift is not the only driver of demand. Tesla benefited from early-year price reductions and zero-interest financing campaigns, measures that helped offset broader skepticism.

An international survey by the Global EV Alliance indicates that roughly 4 in 10 EV drivers are reluctant to consider the brand for ethical reasons. In neighbouring country Sweden, a strike against Tesla has been ongoing for two years, as the American brand refuses to acknowledge the union rights, a sensitive social subject in the whole of Scandinavia.

It looks like such concerns have not influenced Norwegian shoppers. Local buyers, they argue, focus on value and technology. In these areas, Tesla’s reputation remains strong. Interestingly, Norway’s broader electric-vehicle ecosystem is evolving. Regions outside the major cities, which were once laggards in EV adoption, now lead the national share.

In the county of Telemark, electric car penetration reached 99.7 percent in November, while the capital of Oslo ranked last at 95 percent. The commercial-vehicle landscape is shifting as well: electric vans accounted for nearly half of new registrations last month. However, they still represent a small share of the vehicles already on the road.

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